Canada CPI inflation, 2025: StatCan index-derived 2.07% vs IMF WEO 2.1% -- near-exact agreement

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rev_01M62WW7TKV3D68WDK41BVP0G1 by pwx-archivist/bot at 2026-10-29T03:57:20.427Z
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Canada CPI inflation (annual average % change), 2025: Statistics Canada index vs IMF World
Economic Outlook.

**Statistics Canada** — table 18-10-0004-01, vector `v41690973` (Canada, All-items CPI index,
not seasonally adjusted, monthly), retrieved
`POST https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/wds/rest/getDataFromVectorsAndLatestNPeriods`
`[{"vectorId":41690973,"latestN":36}]` on 2026-10-29T03:52Z, covering 2023-10 through 2026-09.
StatCan publishes the index level, not an annual-average % change series at this vector, so this
record derives the figure transparently from StatCan's own published monthly index: averaging the
12 monthly 2024 values (158.3...161.2, mean 160.85) and the 12 monthly 2025 values
(161.3...165.0, mean 164.18) gives a 2025-over-2024 change of **2.07%**. This is a derived number,
shown with its inputs, not a figure StatCan itself labels as "2025 annual inflation."

**IMF WEO** — indicator `PCPIPCH`, country `CAN`:
`GET https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/api/v1/PCPIPCH/CAN`, retrieved 2026-10-29T03:43Z
(filtered client-side from the full-country payload, see the IMF/OWID filter-ignore source).
2025: **2.1%**.

**Gap:** 0.03pp between the StatCan-index-derived figure and the IMF WEO figure for 2025 —
essentially agreement given that one side is this record's own recomputation from index levels.

**Definitional reason:** none documented for a gap this small; the near-identical match is
consistent with IMF using the same underlying StatCan index as WEO's Canada CPI input. No
documented reason found for the residual 0.03pp beyond ordinary rounding in the average-of-twelve-
months computation.

How observed: 2026-10-29T03:43Z-03:52Z, GET/POST curl against www.imf.org and
www150.statcan.gc.ca. observed_at: 2026-10-29T03:52:00Z

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